The Lindy Effect | Christian's Notes

A list of reflective questions to ask yourself Antifragile Availability bias Black Swan Bottlenecks Cause and Effect Compound Interest Confirmation Bias Create momentum to make progress Emergence Environment Design Every field has some core principles and ideas upon which all other derive Evolution Excellence is mundane Fail Fast So You Can Fix Early Feedback Loop First instinct fallacy Force multiplier Free Rider Problem Friction Gall's Law Hanlon's Razor Haskell Hickam's Dictum Hindsight Bias How to Acquire Mental Models Increase your leverage to become more productive Innovation Multiplier Inversion Leverage Local maxima vs. Global maxima Mario Marketing Mental Models Metcalfe's Law Minimize time getting into position, just go Mise en place Network Effects Not making time for yourself first leads to burnout Occam's Razor Opportunity Cost Overton windows Perverse Incentive Positive Sum Post Hoc Ergo Propter Hoc Fallacy PP 1 - Introduction to Haskell PP 2 - Types and classes PP 3 - Functions and lists PP 4 - Recursion PP 5 - Higher-order functions PP 6 - Declaring types and type classes Premature Optimization Reciprocity Regression to the Mean Sharpen the saw Sherlock Holmes and Mental Models Signal vs. Noise Skin in the Game Stop being ungrateful of having so little life, and be grateful that you were given any at all Survivorship bias Take on the role before you can assume the role The Barbell Strategy The Diderot Effect The Dunning-Kruger Effect The Feature-Positive Effect The Ivy Lee Method for daily planning The Law of Inertia The Lindy Effect The Map Is Not The Territory The Mere-Exposure Effect The Pareto Principle The Pauli Exclusion Principle The Pratfall Effect The QEC method The Red Queen Effect Theory of Constraints To catch a second wind, you have to stay in the game long enough Using notes to advance in life Via Negativa Wittgenstein's Ruler Working on vs. working in Your second brain should actively grow and compound Zero Sum

The Lindy Effect

The life expectancy of a (non-perishable) thing is proportional to its current age.

“If a book has been in print for forty years, I can expect it to be in print for another forty years. But, and that is the main difference, if it survives another decade, then it will be expected to be in print another fifty years. This, simply, as a rule, tells you why things that have been around for a long time are not ‘aging’ like persons, but ‘aging’ in reverse. Every year that passes without extinction doubles the additional life expectancy.” - Nassim Nicholas Taleb

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The Lindy Effect

The life expectancy of a (non-perishable) thing is proportional to its current age.

“If a book has been in print for forty years, I can expect it to be in print for another forty years. But, and that is the main difference, if it survives another decade, then it will be expected to be in print another fifty years. This, simply, as a rule, tells you why things that have been around for a long time are not ‘aging’ like persons, but ‘aging’ in reverse. Every year that passes without extinction doubles the additional life expectancy.” - Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Tags: Mental Models Reference: Nassim Nicholas Taleb in Antifragile Related:

Incoming links: Mental Models

Outgoing links: Nassim Nicholas Taleb, Antifragile