The Lindy Effect

The life expectancy of a (non-perishable) thing is proportional to its current age.

“If a book has been in print for forty years, I can expect it to be in print for another forty years. But, and that is the main difference, if it survives another decade, then it will be expected to be in print another fifty years. This, simply, as a rule, tells you why things that have been around for a long time are not ‘aging’ like persons, but ‘aging’ in reverse. Every year that passes without extinction doubles the additional life expectancy.” - Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Tags: Mental Models Reference: Nassim Nicholas Taleb in Antifragile Related:

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